(Catch Oscar Coverage At Zennie62 from the Night Of 100 Stars Party)
The reason for Lincoln as my selection goes like this: about 70 percent of the time in Oscars History, the winner of the Director’s Guild Award for Best Director goes on to win Best Director at The Academy Awards, and that, in turn, leads to a ‘Best Picture’ win for that movie the director was responsible for.
Well, guess what: the DGA winner this year, 2013, was not Steven Spielberg for Lincoln, but Ben Affleck for Argo – that means Argo will Best Picture at the Oscars, right?
Right. Except that Mr.Affleck wasn’t even nominated for Best Picture. That leaves the field wide open for the legendary Mr. Spielberg.
With that, here’s the complete run-down of nominees and predicted winners (subject to update):
1. Best Picture: “Amour,” `’Argo,” `’Beasts of the Southern Wild,” `’Django Unchained,” `’Les Miserables,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Lincoln,” `’Silver Linings Playbook,” `’Zero Dark Thirty.” Prediction: “Lincoln”
2. Actor: Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook”; Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”; Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables”; Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”; Denzel Washington, “Flight.”
Prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”
3. Actress: Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty”; Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”; Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour”; Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Naomi Watts, “The Impossible.”
Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
4. Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin, “Argo”; Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook”; Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”; Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”; Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained.”
Prediction: Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”
5. Supporting Actress: Amy Adams, “The Master”; Sally Field, “Lincoln”; Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”; Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”; Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook.”
Prediction: Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”
6. Directing: Michael Haneke, “Amour”; Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; Ang Lee, “Life of Pi”; Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”; David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook.”
Prediction: Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”
7. Foreign Language Film: “Amour,” Austria; “Kon-Tiki,” Norway; “No,” Chile; “A Royal Affair,” Denmark; “War Witch,” Canada.
Prediction: “Amour,” Austria
8. Adapted Screenplay: Chris Terrio, “Argo”; Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”; David Magee, “Life of Pi”; Tony Kushner, “Lincoln”; David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook.”
Prediction: Chris Terrio, “Argo”
9. Original Screenplay: Michael Haneke, “Amour”; Quentin Tarantino, “Django Unchained”; John Gatins, “Flight”; Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, “Moonrise Kingdom”; Mark Boal, “Zero Dark Thirty.”
Prediction: Quentin Tarantino, “Django Unchained”
10. Animated Feature Film: “Brave”; “Frankenweenie”; “ParaNorman”; “The Pirates! Band of Misfits”; “Wreck-It Ralph.”
Prediction: “Brave”
11. Production Design: “Anna Karenina,” `’The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey,” `’Les Miserables,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Lincoln.”
Prediction: ‘Lincoln.’
12. Cinematography: “Anna Karenina,” `’Django Unchained,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Lincoln,” `’Skyfall.”
Prediction: “Skyfall.”
13. Sound Mixing: “Argo,” `’Les Miserables,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Lincoln,” `’Skyfall.”
Prediction: `’Life of Pi”
14. Sound Editing: “Argo,” `’Django Unchained,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Skyfall,” `’Zero Dark Thirty.”
Prediction: `’Life of Pi”
15. Original Score: “Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli; “Argo,” Alexandre Desplat; “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna; “Lincoln,” John Williams; “Skyfall,” Thomas Newman.
Prediction: “Lincoln,” John Williams
16. Original Song: “Before My Time” from “Chasing Ice,” J. Ralph; “Everybody Needs a Best Friend” from “Ted,” Walter Murphy and Seth MacFarlane; “Pi’s Lullaby” from “Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna and Bombay Jayashri; “Skyfall” from “Skyfall,” Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth; “Suddenly” from “Les Miserables,” Claude-Michel Schonberg, Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil.
Prediction: “Skyfall” from “Skyfall,”
17. Costume: “Anna Karenina,” `’Les Miserables,” `’Lincoln,” `’Mirror Mirror,” `’Snow White and the Huntsman.”
Prediction: “Lincoln”
18. Documentary Feature: “5 Broken Cameras,” `’The Gatekeepers,” `’How to Survive a Plague,” `’The Invisible War,” `’Searching for Sugar Man.”
Prediction: `’The Invisible War”
19. Documentary (short subject): “Inocente,” `’Kings Point,” `’Mondays at Racine,” `’Open Heart,” `’Redemption.”
Prediction: “Mondays at Racine,”
20. Film Editing: “Argo,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Lincoln,” `’Silver Linings Playbook,” `’Zero Dark Thirty.”
Prediction: “Lincoln”
21. Makeup and Hairstyling: “Hitchcock,” `’The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey,” `’Les Miserables.”
Prediction: “Les Miserables.”
22. Animated Short Film: “Adam and Dog,” `’Fresh Guacamole,” `’Head over Heels,” `’Maggie Simpson in `The Longest Daycare,'” “Paperman.”
Prediction: “Paperman”
23. Live Action Short Film: “Asad,” `’Buzkashi Boys,” `’Curfew,” `’Death of a Shadow (Dood van een Schaduw),” `’Henry.”
Prediction: “Henry”
24. Visual Effects: “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey,” `’Life of Pi,” `’Marvel’s The Avengers,” `’Prometheus,” `’Snow White and the Huntsman.”
Prediction: “Life of Pi”